The Day After Tomorrow Chart
Serb-Albanian relations in the aftermath of the status talks
| Theme | Autonomy | Independence |
| General type of relations | Clearly defined procedural mechanisms | No formal contact between Kosovo and Serbia Procedural dead-end |
| Freedom of movement | Free movement of people | No right of passage to anyone holding documents issued in Kosovo or entering central Serbia from Kosovo |
| Freedom of capital | Increased domestic and international trade, no obstacle to investments | Possible trade embargo against Kosovo, against countries which recognize its independence and against any company which operates in Kosovo |
| Economic growth | Serbia can help bring FDI by extending Kosovo’s market; it can boost Kosovo’s exports thanks to its trade preferences with Russia | Negative |
| Foreign investment | Clean transparent mechanisms | Risky business |
| Taxes / Free trade | Own taxation system | Double taxation and customs |
| Market | Single market with preferences going to the Kosovo side | Rupture between two naturally interconnected markets |
| Privatization | Review of privatization process clears legal obstacles to investments | International legal challenge to controversial privatization measures |
| Fiscal policy | Harmonization on state level as part of EU-preparation | Complete separation |
| Parliamentary representation of K/Albanians in Belgrade | Full participation in Serbian parliament | No Kosovo Albanians in Serbian parliament |
| Parliamentary representation of K/Serbs in Pristina | Full participation in Kosovo parliament | Total boycott of parliamentary life |
| Access to international institutions | Finance, culture, sports almost independently | Serbia will challenge Kosovo’s access to any international institution |
| Access to international sports scene | Independent access to certain financial, cultural, sports institutions | Challenged by Serbia and countries opposed to Kosovo’s independence |
| European integration | Accelerated. Can fully take control of EU integration. EU CFSP maintained in face of difficult issue. Stable EU front yard. Influence on both Belgrade and Pristina maintained. | Blocked. Instability in EU front yard. Problems with EU unity. Belgrade as most important player in region angry and frustrated. |
| Regional integration | Fluid | Blocked |
| Return of IDPs | Accelerated. Remaining non-Albanians stay at home in Kosovo. IDPs return. Multiethnicity of Kosovo guaranteed. | None. On the contrary, mass exodus of remaining Kosovo Serbs. No return. Ethnically pure state. |
| Decentralization | No interference from Belgrade | Ethnic division |
| Border control | International troops and multiethnic police | Borders sealed |
